Forecasting System for an Investment Firm
Client: An investment firm [ UNDER NDA ]

01 / 04Walk-forward backtest: calibration plots, equity curve vs buy-and-hold
What we built
A price forecasting model delivered inside a live dashboard, with backtesting against historical data, live predictions, a paper-trading view and a candid account of where the model is reliable and where it is not.
The honest reporting is part of the product, not a footnote. The system shows where the model has been reliable and where it has not, so the desk can tell the difference between a prediction worth acting on and one worth ignoring.
What the client got
A model the whole team can use, not just the person who built it. Work like this usually ends up in a notebook only one analyst can run, which makes it useless to everybody else and fragile if that person is away. Behind a dashboard it became an everyday tool. The honest accuracy reporting matters as much as the forecast — knowing when not to trust a prediction is what makes it safe to act on the rest.
